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Is It Still a Seller's Market? Here's What the Data Says.
For Buyers

KCM Crew  I  June 18, 2026

Is It Still a Seller's Market? Here's What the Data Says.

Remember a few years back when sellers held all the power and buyers were stuck offering way over asking or waiving inspections just to get a chance at the house? In many markets, those days are behind us. While it’s going to vary by area, more metros are slowly shifting to favor buyers, and the market is starting to look a lot more like a two-way street again. And that balance is something we haven’t had in a while. Whether you're buying or selling, here's what you need to know about what's changing and what it means for your move. The Most Buyer-Friendly Market in Years The national data tells an interesting story right now. According to Realtor.com: "The national housing market is balanced but gradually loosening as the cycle moves in a more buyer-friendly direction . . ." That’s because, over the past few years, more and more metros have been flipping back to more buyer-friendly terms as inventory’s grown. And when you zoom in on the latest Realtor.com data for the top 50 metro markets over time, the trend becomes really clear (see graph below). Back in 2021, almost all major metros were seller's markets. By the end of 2025, only 1 in 3 still favored sellers. That's an obvious shift. And that changes how the market is going to feel for everyone. Sellers shouldn’t still expect 2021 conditions, but neither should buyers. At least, not generally speaking. It’s Not the Same Story Everywhere That said, who has the power ultimately depends on where you live. While more metros are leaning buyer-friendly lately, there are still plenty of strong seller's markets right now, too. It really comes down to how much housing supply and demand there is in your area. And that varies enormously by region. Sun Belt cities like Austin, Tampa, and San Antonio saw major building booms in recent years, giving buyers more options and more negotiating room. Meanwhile, cities in the Northeast and Midwest – think Rochester, Hartford, and Buffalo – didn't see that same wave, so inventory stayed tight and competition stayed fierce. As Jeff Ostrowski, Housing Analyst at Bankrate, explains: “The formerly hot Sun Belt markets have cooled, while the Northeast and Midwest have stayed hot. The big driver here is construction activity. The softest markets now [have] experienced big booms that spurred new building, and that has led to a large supply of new and existing homes on the market in those places.” Practical Advice for Your Move To find out who has the power in your local market, talk to an agent. Because knowing what’s happening locally is going to be the key to setting the right strategy for your move. If the market is working in your favor, great. Lean in and use it to your benefit. But if it’s not, all hope isn’t lost. Your agent can help you figure out how to approach any market. Here's some practical advice if there’s a mismatch between your goal and local market conditions. If you're buying in a seller's market: Get pre-approved before you start shopping. It shows sellers you're serious. Be ready to act fast when the right home hits the market. Consider offering a quick closing date or flexible terms. Work closely with your agent to craft a competitive offer. If you're selling in a buyer's market: Price it right from day one. Overpricing will cost you time and money. Focus on curb appeal and staging to stand out in areas with more inventory. Be open to offering incentives, like covering closing costs or a home warranty. Expect buyers to negotiate and be ready to be flexible. Bottom Line Right now, local markets are moving in very different directions. And your strategy as a buyer or seller should reflect your market. Want to know which way your local market is leaning and what that means for your move? Talk to a local real estate agent.
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Think Home Prices Will Crash? Here's What the Experts Actually Expect.
For Buyers

KCM Crew  I  June 17, 2026

Think Home Prices Will Crash? Here's What the Experts Actually Expect.

One of the biggest reasons buyers are still sitting on the sidelines is because they think home prices are going to come down. Some believe a crash is coming and they'll get a better deal if they hold off. Others worry they'll buy now and watch their home's value fall later. And nobody wants to overpay or buy right before values drop. But here's the question worth asking: What if the crash you're waiting for isn't actually coming? Because that's what the latest data suggests. Experts Are Not Calling for a Crash If you've spent any time online lately, you've seen posts claiming home prices are about to come crashing down. And it's true that some markets are seeing small price declines right now. But that's not the same thing as a nationwide crash. While some places are going through a price adjustment, Realtor.com data shows home prices are still rising in 71% of housing markets across the country. The trouble is, since negative news sells, you’re seeing more coverage about how a handful of markets are seeing declines, than how the majority are still seeing prices rise. And that's unfortunate. It's exactly why a lot of buyers end up with the impression that prices are falling everywhere when they’re not. So how do you really know where prices are really headed from here? That's where the Home Price Expectations Survey (HPES) from Fannie Mae comes in. Home Prices Will Rise for the Next 5 Years Every quarter, more than 100 economists, housing experts, and market analysts are asked where they think home prices are headed based on the latest data available. And despite all the uncertainty in today's market, there’s one thing they largely agreed on: They don't think a crash is coming. In fact, the average of all of their forecasts calls for home prices to rise every year for at least the next 5 years (see graph below): The point is that the overwhelming expectation isn't for prices to fall. It's for prices to rise at a more normal pace. And just in case you're looking at the forecasts and saying: “of course they’d say that” – know that this survey doesn't just include optimists. It includes pessimists too. Even the Pessimists Aren't Predicting a Crash Researchers broke the panel into groups based on how bullish or bearish they were about housing. The result? Even the most pessimistic group still expects home prices to climb over the next five years. Optimists think we’ll see prices go up roughly 4% a year. Pessimists say it’ll be closer to 1%. The reality may be somewhere in the middle. Think about that for a second. The debate among experts isn't whether prices will crash. It's how much they'll rise. That's a very different conversation than the one happening across social media. This Means Waiting Could Actually Cost You So, if you're putting off your move until prices come down, you may be disappointed. According to the experts, a widespread crash isn’t in the cards. In fact, based on the HPES forecast, a buyer who purchased a $400,000 home this January would gain nearly $40,000 in equity over the next five years from appreciation alone, even in this more moderate market (see below): Of course, this all depends on local market conditions. This forecast is a national average. But broadly speaking, if the experts are right, the bigger risk isn't that prices will crash. It may be waiting for a crash that never comes. Because depending on your market, if you wait, you could be missing out on $40k in equity or paying 40k more in 5 years for the same house. Bottom Line A lot of buyers are waiting because they think prices will fall, but that’s not what the experts are saying. If you're trying to decide whether waiting still makes sense, connect with a local agent. They’ll help you understand what's happening in your local market and what it could mean for your plans.
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Should You Pay for Your Buyer’s Closing Costs? What Sellers Need To Know.
For Sellers

KCM Crew  I  June 15, 2026

Should You Pay for Your Buyer’s Closing Costs? What Sellers Need To Know.

A few years ago, sellers could get away with saying "no" to just about everything. No repairs. No concessions. No negotiation. If buyers wanted the house, they pretty much had to take it on the seller's terms. But now that inventory’s grown, negotiations are becoming a normal part of the process again. That's why one of the most important things sellers need to understand right now is this: The goal isn't to “win” every negotiation. Sometimes, it’s worth meeting buyers where they are to get a deal done, fast. One example? Helping with a buyer's closing costs. Let’s break that down, so you know what to expect if it comes up in your sale. What Are Buyer Closing Costs? Closing costs are the extra expenses buyers pay on top of their down payment when they purchase a home. Freddie Mac gives some examples: Loan origination fees Appraisal and inspection costs Title and attorney fees Survey fees and more Typically, buyer closing costs range from about 2% to 5% of the home’s purchase price. So, on the typical $400,000 home, that could mean anywhere from $8,000 to $20,000 out of pocket. And in today’s affordability-challenged market, that upfront cash can be a major hurdle for some buyers – even if they can comfortably afford the monthly mortgage payment itself. That’s why more people are asking sellers for help. And More Sellers Are Saying “Yes” According to the latest data from Zillow, 67% of sellers reported paying some or all of the buyer’s closing costs in 2025 (see chart below): Now, that doesn't mean every seller is doing it. And it definitely doesn't mean every seller should. But it does show how common concessions have become as the market has shifted. And that’s important for you to know. When Paying Closing Costs May Make Sense This is where many sellers get stuck. They hear "help with closing costs" and immediately think: "Why should I pay for their expenses?" But that's not always the right way to look at it. You’ve got to consider who has the leverage in today’s market. Redfin data shows there are more sellers than buyers active today. And that shifts the market dynamics (see graph below): That doesn't mean every market favors buyers. Far from it. In some areas, homes are still selling quickly and sellers have plenty of leverage. But in others, buyers have more room to negotiate than they've had in years. That's why local market conditions matter so much when you make your decision. For example, helping with closing costs may be worth considering if: There are a lot of homes for sale in your area Your house has been sitting on the market longer than expected You’ve had showings, but no offers You’re motivated to move quickly Or you’re trying to keep a deal together during negotiations After all, if it’s the thing that helps bring a serious buyer across the finish line, it could be well worth it. Other Concessions You Could Offer Instead Just remember, being flexible doesn’t mean saying “yes” to every request. It means understanding which compromises actually help you accomplish your goals. Because there are always alternatives. Redfin suggests considering other concessions if you’re not interested in helping with closing costs, like: A home warranty Repair credits Flexible closing dates, or Leave behind appliances or furniture The right answer depends on what buyers in your market are asking for and what matters most to you. That's exactly why working with an experienced local agent is so important. Bottom Line The sellers having the most success today are the ones who understand the market has changed and are adapting to meet it where it is. Sometimes that means negotiating on closing costs. Sometimes it means offering something else. The key is knowing which concessions are worth it for your local market. If you’re wondering what's normal in your area, what's worth negotiating, and where it makes sense to stand firm, connect with an agent.
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Two Big Reasons To Move This Summer
For Buyers

KCM Crew  I  June 11, 2026

Two Big Reasons To Move This Summer

A lot of people who want to move are telling themselves the same thing: "Maybe I'll just wait until later this year once things calm down." While waiting sounds like a good plan, there's something worth knowing before you decide. Rates aren’t expected to change much, so if that’s the #1 reason you’re waiting, it may not pay off. And there may be other things you miss out on in the meantime. Historically, Summer is one of the strongest seasons of the year for both buyers and sellers. And if you delay your move until Fall or Winter, some of those opportunities may already be fading. Buyers: Fresh Inventory Is Your Real Summer Advantage One of the biggest frustrations buyers have faced over the past few years has been a lack of affordable options. Maybe you’ve run into that yourself: You find a house you like, but it's out of your budget. You find something in your budget, but you don’t like it. Or worse, nothing interesting hits the market for weeks. Historically, Summer helps with that. Looking at data from the last few years, Summer months consistently bring more sellers into the market than later in the year. And that gives buyers a real window of fresh choices. According to Realtor.com, any given Summer month typically sees about 32% more fresh options than the average month from September-December. With more newly listed homes, there’s a better chance of finding one you like where the numbers actually work. Because all it really takes is one home to completely change your search. And if you’ve got more popping onto the market to choose from, maybe one of those is exactly what you need. But keep in mind, this seasonal window isn’t open forever. Fresh inventory tends to slow down once Summer ends. Many homeowners who planned to sell this year have already listed by then. Families who wanted to move before school starts have often already gotten it done, or at least, set it into motion. So, new listing activity usually cools as we head into Fall and Winter. Of course, every year is different. But if finding the right home at the right price has been your biggest challenge, waiting until later in the year may not necessarily give you more options. In fact, recent history suggests it may do just the opposite. Sellers: Homes Usually Sell for More in the Summer If you're thinking of selling, you may be considering holding off because you've seen headlines about lower asking prices, price cuts, and softer conditions in some markets. But those headlines don’t tell the whole story or convey just how much it varies by area. Here’s what you really need to know. Even though the market’s becoming more balanced and some pockets are experiencing price declines, that doesn’t mean you’ve missed your chance to sell. Seasonality can still work in your favor no matter where you are. And this Summer could still give you the chance to sell for a good price. According to the National Association of Realtors (NAR), homes sold during a Summer month usually sell for about 4% more than homes sold during the typical month from September-December: Why? Summer buyers are usually operating on a set timeframe. They’re trying to move before the next school year or when they have more PTO and warmer weather to tour houses. That urgency can translate into better offers. Now, that doesn’t mean you should price your house 4% higher this Summer. That would actually be a mistake in today’s market. It just means if you’re looking to get as much for your house as you reasonably can, a Summer move could be a smarter play than waiting until later this year. Because based on typical seasonality, you may get more for your house than you would if you waited until the Fall or Winter (when there are typically fewer buyers active). And if you're considering a move anyway, that’s worth factoring in. Bottom Line Could waiting until later this year work out? Sure. But it's important to understand what you may gain by moving now too – that way you have the full picture before you decide. If a 2026 move is on your radar, talk to an agent about what matters most to you. Depending on your priorities, Summer could be your moment.
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